I secured my trip to OKC, and as a very convienient result, will be chasing the very marginal setup enroute on Friday.  I mentioned yesterday that I was looking for this trip to give me an excuse to head out, so with that taken care of, I will be chasing western Oklahoma on Friday.

SPC went ‘See Text’, which isn’t terribly surprising given the strength of this cold front.  That on its own doesn’t do a lot for me given the wind threat being the biggest concern at this time, but nice to know it won’t be a total waste of a trip.

The overall issue with this setup is moisture and the lack thereof.  Dewpoints will struggle into the upper 40s, maybe pushing 50 in a few areas, but I would be shocked if we see anything higher than that.  A line of storms seems inevitable with the crashing cold front, but if it can hold back long enough, some of the upper dynamics may come into play and put out a storm or two before everything gets messy.

My target, for lack of a better word, is Woodward right now.  I may opt to shift that south if the front looks to be faster than the models have it OR some storm development before dark is possible south of I-40 further away from the front.

I’ll crank out a more specific and detailed forecast tomorrow as I kind of get to back off a bit seeing as I am already going down there.  The choice to chase is much easier in these circumstances where you’re basically passing through on your way.  Unless a more substantial event becomes forecasted, this will go down as a spotter log given that I would likely sit this one out on my own.  Meanwhile, I will shift my alert into HIGH as the non-chasing part of my trip is set.