Chase potential remains high this weekend and this trip may kick off as early as tonight. Models continue to point towards an interesting setup Friday, Saturday, and potentially Sunday. A long drive to Friday's target with a chance to chase basically the same areas on Saturday before returning for the potential cold core setup on Sunday. The incoming system is varied in speeds through the various models and timing will be the biggest question. Friday has strong potential to be a potentially strong day if the various parameters can fall into place at the right time. Capping is the big concern as usual, but if the timing of an upper level impulse is right, we could see the cap break and storms go up in a beautifully sheared enviornment with the potential for strong tornadoes as talked about by SPC in their 30%-hatched Day 2. It is a long haul as a preliminary target would be sitting in or around Aberdeen, South Dakota which is over 700 miles one way. Driving to North Platte tonight (approx. 3.5 hours) would cut Friday's drive to less than 450 miles and puts us is position for targets south in the case potential opens up a bit more in southern South Dakota into Nebraska.
Lots of questions surrounding this weekend setup which will have to be worked out, but the lengthy trip to an Aberdeen target would make for a commitment much earlier than one would like. I have already cleared my schedule for tomorrow and can be on the road anytime after 6:00 this evening if so choosen. If a couple local chasers are able to leave this evening as well, I'll load them up and head up!
Stay tuned...
