Not the best of chase days today, but something to keep an eye on. With temp/dew spreads so large today, downburst winds seem to be the primary threat close to home with moisture improving out further east where a few storms may drop some hail. SPC and NWS-Boulder mention a heavy rain threat further east with the potential for flooding. This would be enhanced in areas in Sedgwick, Phillips, Yuma, and possibly Logan and Washington Counties where flooding was quite prevalent last week and may still carry lingering effects today. Slow storm motions should enhance this flood potential and make for much easier core-punching of storms. Shear is pretty weak today and thus any tornado potential will be pretty meager at best. Definitely a hail/flood type day. How long storms can remain going into the evening hours will determine whether lightning will be a factor after dark. My initial thoughts aren't very high on that prospect, but hopefully slow storm motions will keep things pretty close to home and allow us more of an opportunity to stay out and shoot. Dews as of this writing were in the upper 40s across the front range and mid to upper 50s along the eastern plains. With temps crawling into the 90s, mixing will definitely be an issue which should throw dews in the upper 30s and lower 40s across the front range and upper 40s to low/mid 50s across the eastern plains by afternoon.
I am taking a friend to the airport around 3 this afternoon, thus will already be out east today around 4. Pending what's ongoing or looking to be by that point, I may hold my position near E-470 and Pena and kick it as storms go.
