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Tuesday, March 28, 2006

 
A quick thanks to Jason Boggs who's PDA I bought last week; he replied to my help question and pointed me in the right direction to get the GPS working with the PDA. The test this afternoon was a quick and easy success. I will have my new toy functioning for the coming days.

As for work and such, everything is caught up and taken care of. I turned in my assignments which are due Thursday; washing my hands of class obligations. All work shifts are covered, including the early morning shift I left unattended. The extra morning time will allow me an early arrival to my I-70 base in Kansas where I can decide what to do with myself. I'm hopeful for arrival in Colby by noon CST which should give me a couple hours to adjust; sit still, or head to my overnight place for Thursday. I'll have the options. Tomorrow has now become an official chase day.

Storms will have an easy time going severe IF they can develop. The dryline will be present, but not all that strong, so forcing won't be as much as one would like. If a storm can get up, it'll rotate with the shear present. CAPE values are decent over the area in Kansas, so I'll just keep my fingers crossed for something to fire. Concerns are cloud cover; temps need to hit about 70 I think for storms to go; TDs in the lower to mid 50s would be sufficent moisture as well. If they go, I think they'll go severe with hail as the big threat. Tornado potential remains a bit low, but could certainly be a possibility it higher moisture values can creep in. Storms will remain ongoing through the nighttime hours as the low level jet kicks in. This will allow me a chance for my first lightning shots of the season after dark where I'm hoping to meet with some of my Colorado buddies who are making a later departure from Denver where we'll position overnight someplace along I-135 to make our decision for Thursday.

As for Thursday, my hopes are to avoid chasing too far to the east. I think a modest starting point along I-135 between Salina and Wichita will give us a fair chance of being in position for tomorrow. My thoughts are a NE jog from I-135 towards NE Kansas/SE Nebraska/SW Iowa/NW Missouri closer to the low, but I'm also keeping a close eye on a southern target in Oklahoma; maybe as far as OKC. We all know of the chase terrain in Eastern OK, so my hope is sticking with the northern target. I'll check things out in more detail tomorrow for Thursday and my immediate attention is tomorrow's slim chance. Thursday looks to be an all-hell breaking loose type of day; where the best place is remains a mystery... and of course, the big IFs which surround it. Gotta love forecasting!

I shift into severe alert in a couple hours as my departure from Lakewood will be between 8a and 9a tomorrow morning.





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